Before you read on, I should just clarify that these reviews are all part of my own betting strategy with Novice Chasers and while they may not interest the masses of people, it’s needed for my database and therefore I thought I would share a small amount (not all of it) of my information gathered.
Carlise 1M7F 207y Class 3 Beginners Chase – good to soft.
First off, what do we know about Carlise? Carlise has some of the easiest fences in the country and is a galloping undulating track with a short run in from the last fence. The reason the track description is important when assessing a Novices’ jumping ability is to put a reference to the jumping errors occurred which could be improved upon at an easier track and therefore not to get caught out. Here we have no such trouble.
How They Jumped?
Brewin’upastrom jumped fantastically well for a debut effort recording just one mistake at the 8th fence. Clearly, Olly Murphy has schooled his talented star very well over the summer and he repaid his trainers efforts coming out on top on this occasion. He had no trouble with an increase in pace set by his market rival, nor was he fazed when the pace slackened a promising sign for a horse with a definite future over fences.
He raced in 5th (last) position throughout the race almost 8l off the leader with that extended to almost 10l at times throughout the race. He made rapid headway from the 9th to the final fence when jumping upsides the long-time leader and battled on gamely to get the better of that rival on the run-in.
An all-round impressive performance from one that will benefit going up in trip. He was given a very clever ride and Richard Johnson timed matters to perfection on the short run in. His jockey, however, was a nose away from flipping the script and being cursed for a bad ride which is always worth keeping in mind. A step up in trip for Brewin’upastorm may well be his calling and is certainly one to watch this season.
Good Boy Bobby jumped with enthusiasm and despite being a little keen early on he looks very much the type to make into a much better chaser than a hurdler. Rated 139 over hurdles and only suffering his 3rd career defeat here gives plenty of optimism for his future.
He led at a fair gallop between the first and the fourth before slowing the pace down a fraction but overall clocked a fast time. Jumping impressively throughout the race before making a trio of errors that lost him ground and momentum at a vital stage of the race as his market rival made his headway. Pulling out more with a good jump at the last and showing an excellent attitude on the run-in Good Boy Bobby deserves to be marked up dramatically for this performance.
Who To Take From The Race?
If we are focusing on a trip of 2m, without doubt, GOOD BOY BOBBY. He will not only improve for his first outing over fences but has put in a fast time, jumped well and showed an excellent attitude to battle. His early race exuberance has likely taken its toll and his three mistakes at a crucial stage in the race have ultimately cost him the race. Midnight Shadow a good horse in his own right and rated 155 over hurdles but could not lay a glove on the front pair. He managed to secure third place, a position he held throughout the race. That information alone is enough to tell us that this was an above-average Novice Chase and I suspect that Good Boy Bobby will go onto big things this season and I know I would want to be with him rather than against him.