1.45 2m4f Grade 1 Novice Chase.
La Bag Au Roi won’t give up her unbeaten record over fences up without a fight but her form is strongest over 3m and now back at this sort of trip, she may be worth taking on. She ran out a convincing winner at Newbury over this distance but Lostintranslation looked to have her measure before making a huge blunder at the third last. She was granted a soft lead out in front the last day over the 2m5f trip and her stamina became a huge factor in her seeing out the race the stronger than rival Kaiser Black.
Tactics will likely play a huge part in proceedings here and if BAGS GROOVE 8/1 can get his own way out in front then he will likely prove tough to peg back. This speed track and good ground will play to his strengths. He has proved flat tracks are certainly his bag and 8/1 looks a fair price about this duel Grade 2 winner who put in an improved effort when last seen in Feb and who has seemingly been saved for this race after by passing Cheltenham. Fresher than most of his rivals he could provide good e/w value against the short priced fav.
If Bags Groove and La Bag Au Roi do repeat their tactics at Kempton and take each other on then the mare will likely come out on top in the early stages and that will likely set things up for Glen Forsa. He was well touted for the Arkle before un-seating early on and this step up in trip will be of no concern and with that un-seat being an uncharacteristic error, now is his chance to prove up to this level.
1 – Bags Groove 9/1 – 2pt e/w. 1/4 odds 2 places
2- La Bag Au Roi
3- Glen Forsa
2.50 -Betway Bowl Grade 1 Chase 3m
KEMBOY 5/2 will look to make up for his early exit in the Gold Cup last month and this looks tailor made for him. A soft lead on the front end looks likely here and although I would prefer David Mullins on board, Ruby Walsh is not to be grumbled at. This improving 7yo will enjoy this sharp test and recorded a career best when taking care of a high class field in the Grade 1 Savills Chase at Leopardstown in December. He comes here relatively fresh compared to his rivals, whom three, contested a fiercely competitive 3m2f of the Gold Cup trip just three weeks ago. With Road To Respect and Balko Des Flos both well beaten in the Ryan air its hard not to favour the Willie Mullins runner here.
KEMBOY – 2PT WIN
Total Staked 6pts