2.05 Exeter 2m1f Grade 2 limited handicap
THEO 12/1 looks rather overpriced in this event especially as the drop back in trip is a big positive, the 8yo is very much un-exsposed on good ground and over this trip with the yard in flying form. He looks well handicapped off a Mark of 141 on the bare form of his win over One For Billy and that would have been a much greater margin than the 1 3/4 lengths had THEO not clattered the last fence. One For Billy went on and looked like he was going to score before running out at Cheltenham Last month off a Mark of 147 behind Dakali (153). He becomes of much more interest when looking at the field as individuals in regards to the negatives against each of his rivals.
In my opinion Diego Du Charmil 2/1 wants much softer ground, highlighted by his racing post ratings and his win over Petit Mouchoir at Aintree. He also carries a big weight here and this track is not certain to suit.
Ozzie The Oscar’s 9/4 form has been knocked time and time again and although there may be more to come he has ran to a similar level on every Chase start and looks to have peaked.
God’s Own 3/1 has been on the downgrade for a while and after a lacklustre, all be it light, campaign, last season, his previous form tells us he will need the run.
That leaves San Benedeto 5/1 who was second in this race last season and if he runs up to the level of that form, he will take all the beating. It would have been nice to see much more from him over hurdles at Kempton last week however, and it is interesting that Sam Twiston-Davies rides the selection instead of the Paul Nichols horse. He seems tough to catch right and rates a risky proposition all be it a favourable price.
THEO 12/1 1pt e/w.
7.00 Kempton Class 4 6f handicap
TOP BOY 11/1 ran a blinder to win comfortably at this course recently off a mark of 72. The second has since franked the form in a class 6 event in great fashion. The selection then bumped into the thriving Compas Scoobie (77) when finishing 2 lengths behind and running on strongly at the finish giving him 8lbs. That run suggest that a mark of 78 is not beyond him and back at Kempton where he recorded his highest racing post rating of the season is only a positive move amd with a solid enough draw he looks one of the likelier types in this event. His overall profile this season suggests that there could be more improvement to come. 1pt win